From the always thoughtful and insightful, Rajiv Sethi, this is the best thing I've read on the Fed and TARP to date. Read it here.
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The Fed Adds a Third Mandate - In his famous helicopter speech in late 2002, he assured us that deflation could not happen “here,” even if the short-term rate was zero, because the Fed would move out the yield curve by buying large amounts of medium-term bonds. This would have the effect of lowering yields all along the upper edge of the curve. This became known as quantitative easing. In Jackson Hole last summer,, in later speeches in the fall, and in op-ed pieces he said that such a program would lower rates. Then a funny thing happened on the way to QE2: long-term rates began to rise all over the developed world. As Yogi Berra noted, “In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.” It’s got to be driving Fed types nuts to see the theory of QE, so lovingly advanced and believed in by so many economists, be relegated to the trash heap, along with so many other economic theories (like that of efficient markets). The market has a way of doing that. So, Liesman asked Bernanke about one minute into the clip (link below) about the little snafu that, following QE2, both interest rates and commodity prices have risen. How can that be a success? Ben’s answer (paraphrased):“We have seen the stock market go up and the small-cap stock indexes go up even more.” Really? Is it the third mandate of the Fed now to foster a rising stock market? I wonder what the Fed’s target for the S&P is for the end of the year?
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/01/thinking-the-unthinkable/
Posted by: rjs | 01/17/2011 at 02:45 PM
rjs,
I don't understand why confidence in the future returning to world markets is a failure of a policy designed to restore confidence to world markets. What you don't do is distinguish between real and nominal interest rates.
Posted by: reason | 01/18/2011 at 03:48 AM
reason; i dont distinguish between real and nominal interest rates because the small businessman or person in the market to buy a home doesnt, nor will the banks consider the difference when they reset the trillion dollars worth of Alt 1-A and adjustable ARM mortgages over the next two years...nominal interest rates have real consequence for real people; the only consequence of real interest rates is imaginary...
Posted by: rjs | 01/18/2011 at 04:42 AM
better late than never
Posted by: taobao direct | 01/25/2011 at 10:26 PM